Kalshi and Polymarket · every pick published

Every pick,
on the record

FinFuse publishes what it picked, what it cost and how it ended — free, and without a sign-in. Paper, Predict and Print are what you pay for once that record is worth paying for.

Example · what one published pick carries
Kalshi ask
which is
0%
Polymarket
66¢
All-in, after fees
67¢
Other side pays
1.7 to 1
Both venues
agree
The free rung

The record is public, and it stays public.

Every pick is posted with its price at the time, on both venues, with the fees already taken out. When it settles, the result is written next to it. Nothing is removed and nothing is back-dated.

Open the record
Paper · $29/mo

Practice on real prediction markets.

Anyone can guess. Almost nobody knows how good their guesses are. Every prediction starts with your own number, committed before the event resolves — the one thing that can be scored afterwards.

After about thirty resolved calls in a band, your calibration report says whether the things you call 90 percent really happen 90 percent of the time.

Real Kalshi markets, play money. Nothing is bought, sold or funded at any point.

app.finfuse.com · Paper
DENBroncos45¢
KCChiefs56¢
Your number—%
Real Kalshi prices, from the latest scan
Step 1

Commit to a number

Before the event resolves, you say what you think the chance is. Not a pick — a probability.

Step 2

The world settles it

Real events resolve on their real rules and your call is scored automatically. Nothing to log.

Step 3

Your curve appears

After about thirty resolved predictions in a band, your calibration report tells you whether the things you call 90 percent really happen 90 percent of the time. Below thirty it says "too few to call" rather than guessing.

Predict · $49/mo

FinFuse’s number on every game.

Open it and the week is already priced: the chance the sportsbooks give each side once their margin is out, next to what Kalshi and Polymarket charge after their fees, the cheaper one marked.

When either venue sells a side for less than it’s worth, that’s a pick: the side, the price to pay and the arithmetic, settled on the record for anyone to check.

Information, not financial advice. You place every trade yourself. 18+.

app.finfuse.com · Predict
GameFinFuseKalshi, all-inPolymarket, all-in
DENDenver BroncosKCKansas City Chiefs
44.9%
55.1%
47¢58¢
42¢ or lessKalshi53¢ or lessKalshi
Fair
Broncos, 7 days on Kalshi: 45¢ → 45¢
The real board, from the latest scan

Both venues, one table

Kalshi and Polymarket side by side, fees in, the cheaper one marked.

47¢Broncos

A price for every side

Even with no pick, every side shows the most it’s worth paying.

42¢ or lessBroncos, resting on Kalshi

The arithmetic, taught

Six short lessons on the fee maths every price here is judged on.

6 lessons
Print · $99/mo

Predict’s pick, with a lock behind it.

Print buys the side Predict says is priced at or under what it’s worth, on the cheaper venue, then rests a lock order for the other side at the price that locks a profit whoever wins.

If the order fills, the profit is locked. If it never fills, you hold a side bought for no more than it’s worth. Both outcomes are on the card before you trade.

A resting order only fills if the market moves to it. Information, not financial advice. 18+.

app.finfuse.com · Print
No hedged position open right now. The next one appears here the moment Predict’s entry is at or under fair.
Where the next position appears

What this is. A description of the record’s format, not a performance claim. FinFuse publishes no win rate on this page — when the record is long enough to mean something, the number will be on the record itself, where you can check it. FinFuse never places a trade, never holds your money, and gives no investment or betting advice. Prediction market contracts carry risk of loss.

How it goes

Read it, practise it, then decide.

01

Read the record

It costs nothing and asks for nothing. If it does not convince you, the rest of this page should not either.

02

Practise on Paper

Same fixtures, same live prices, play money. You find out whether you can read a board before it is your own money answering.

03

Then decide

Predict and Print are for people who already know what they are looking at. Billing is by Whop and you can cancel any month.

Pricing

Monthly. Cancel any time.

Billing and membership are handled by Whop, so your card details are never sent to FinFuse.

The record
Free
  • Every published pick and its result
  • Both venues’ prices as posted
  • No sign-in and no card
Read it
Paper
$29/month
  • This week’s real board, priced live
  • Play money only — nothing reaches an exchange
  • Fees taken out, so the price is the real one
Start Paper
Predict
$49/month
  • Everything in Paper
  • The picks board across both venues
  • Side by side, all-in after fees
Start Predict
Print
$99/month
  • Everything in Predict
  • Hedged positions across both venues
  • The number that locks a position in
Start Print
Start here

Check the record before you believe a word of this.

It is free, it needs no account, and it is the only part of FinFuse that can prove anything.